Lead
Election night: Linke wins Berlin; AfD narrowly leads SPD in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern — Merz stays
- Berlin (ZDF / Forschungsgruppe Wahlen Hochrechnung): Linke 25.5% (Eralp) clear of CDU 20% (Evers); Grüne 15.4%, AfD 13.9%, SPD 12%, BSW 5% — seat sketch 36/28/22/20/17/7 on 130 (ZDF).
ZDF heute (Berlin)
- Black-red Senate math collapses: CDU+SPD ~45 seats vs 66 needed; viable Dreier on paper are Linke–Grüne–SPD (75) or CDU–Grüne–SPD (67). Eralp claims Regierungsauftrag; SPD’s Krach calls result “katastrophal” (ZDF / rbb).
ZDF heute (Berlin)
rbb24 Liveticker
- rbb / Infratest dimap ~18:56 Hochrechnung: Linke 24.9 / CDU 20.0 / AfD 15.7 / Grüne 15.0 / SPD 11.9 / BSW 5.0 — same Linke lead, AfD ahead of Grüne on that institute (rbb).
rbb24 Liveticker
Why it matters — Morning’s election-day setup is now Hochrechnung reality — two Land maps rewrite coalition math and keep Merz under Bund pressure without forcing him out tonight.



